This is a perfect example of how connected (pun intended) patterns and a well communicated premise points the way to the future.

In this case, it’s a business model for the web.

Open is King:

But that doesn’t necessarily mean free.

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This is something that needed to be done before the kimbro agency even launched its trend service formally in 2006. But, alas, in its original stages in the mid to late 90’s, TrendSights was offered as a complimentary service to stay in touch with clients and potential clients, and to that end I did not protect it with all the legalities necessary to keep it within my company domain.

After working for a while as a mid-sized firm’s VP Sales & Marketing in 2004 and 2005 with an obvious interruption to my business, I lost the domains for both kimbro agency and for TrendSights. Once I returned to private ownership, my answer was to own the domains thekimbroagency.com and kimbroagency.net (dropping the the), and naming the trend newsletter Trendcites.

For someone who is so big picture oriented, I am sometimes a stickler for detail (good for what I do), and was stubborn about keeping the name Trendcites because by definition cites means to name something, to call it out, versus sites which has to do with a location.

However, and I was told this by more than one person at the outset, (no it wasn’t just you) Trendcites looked like Trendcities. You know, what cities have you lived in in your life? It’s taken some time for me to correct, by going to the person who swiped TrendSights as their newsletter name to get it back, and start making changes to my email, the newsletters, stationery and so on….as well as creating a blog in 2007 that rhymed with the newsletter to help correct any misunderstanding from the misspellings of the newsletter (sigh). But, that was so last year. Now it’s Trendsights, matter resolved.

Going loopy after information overload by DeaPeaJay

Plus given the shape of the economy, I had to decide if it was worth making any corrections for. I have my misgivings about things that are published now so freely on the web. We are, if nothing else, a world overwhelmed by too much information, or suffering from information overload.

From Gawker’s “The New York Time’s Paywall: the stakes are small.”

While initially I didn’t agree with paying for content on the web, now I am beginning to think it’s not a bad idea. Media, such as the New York Times, should be well reimbursed by advertising, but if we are to maintain the sanctity of unbiased media or excellence in media then there needs to start being levels of professionalism in media clearly denoted. If it takes some paywalls to make that clear, then that’s the direction we need to move in.

It is my opinion that by having so much openness in the information arena, children, students, designers, educators and researchers have been exposed to rather high levels of crap (if I may be so blunt) and that has done nothing for what is getting put out there professionally. That sort of lack of professionalism is showing up in our schools, television, film, art, fashion, literature, journalism and much product created and put on shelves for us to buy and put in our homes.

That’s a rather sweeping statement and obviously there are many exclusions to it (especially my twitter friends and connections and OTR Gang and other personal favs…I’m a consumer too), but in order to render the high from the low in all things, I say we begin with the web. This is not to say that the newbies out there aren’t creating some rather weighty stuff because they are, and there is more to this movement of ugly design and banal journalism than an overwhelming amount of free web content…it also has to do with the catch 22 we are in economically and our seemingly obsessive addiction to outsourcing our manufacturing to China. Nor do I subscribe to media outlets like Time, Inc’s list of best blogs of whatever year or Twitter’s new thing with curated lists: these are helpful guides and sometimes interesting to peruse, but by no means exhaustive (word of mouth is still the trusted go to guide, by some 70% according to a Neilsen study). Not to mention the venerable Fast Company’s list of 100 Most Creative in Business for 2010 assigning the number one spot to Lady Gaga and including the 13 year old fashionista wunderkin, Tavi: really? Out of all the creative people in the world right now, these two, based on their popculture status are considered two of the top 100 creative people in all of the world? That’s what I call catering to the masses and not looking beyond the obvious (besides which, I’m thinking their deadline for submissions was short based on the intro paragraph’s mistakes in grammar and spelling).

(You can go gaga over Gaga, but when Glee does a better rendition of Bad Romance than Gaga herself, well I need say no more).

Something’s gotta give. My initial two cents is in the realm of taking back ownership of the rightful name of my newsletter, TrendSights. And next I’m gonna go after the guys who are trying to steal my TrendBites blog moniker and eventually get back ownership of the domain name www.kimbroagency.com in addition to www.thekimbroagency.com.

Then, well, you’ll just have to wait for my next announcement, coming to a social media network near you soon :)

So, again, what’s in a name? Take it from me, lots.

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If you want any guidance or information on innovation the subject is readily available all over the web. There’s a page from the Daily Reviewer devoted to listing the top 100 blogs that write on innovation alone not to mention Harvard Business Review and BusinessWeek getting into the act.

So what new do I have to add to the conversation that will or could make any difference? Only that I am not going to promote a system in order to ensure innovation happens (one preferably lead by me ;)). It’s my own not just professional opinion but experience that informs that posture. As a rule I engage companies when I have worked with them directly on their change initiatives at the disruptive technology level as opposed to incremental (see how much I’ve learned by reading the blogs and engaging in LinkedIn forums?) which means something tangible got the ball rolling, then ideas naturally started pinging as a part of the conversation….., which then led to the systems just as a checkpoint or an ad hoc R&D model. Of course at the time, since I’ve been doing this dating back to 1997 (and earlier if you want to count the oh so successful Barrington Rep Group which I can no longer claim affliliation with), I didn’t realize that is what I was doing, it’s just the knack (read talent, education, experience and exposures) I had for finding exceptional talent and helping put it together in such a way that it became destined for commercial success with ready adoption by large corporate entities. It’s a record of success and achievement I am very proud of and only recently have come to understand its now infamous label of “innovating disruptive technology.”

So, it’s good we have some well versed academics on the job who can name that tune for the rest to learn and therefore benefit from. It is an important point though as disruptive technology is a whole other ballgame from incremental, carries more risk and therefore more reward, but does require going outside the box for solutions, again in my experience, so people become the other important foci to getting results from your innovation practices. Leadership styles can be a way, or at least a start, to get a handle on what might facilitate the process at least from inside the corporate view.

So currently Proctor & Gamble has launched their initiative “Design Thinking” that is in effect going to help them thwart the private label progress now being made and eroding their market share. It doesn’t say so much about innovation per se as it does about assuming a mindset that allows for innovation to come through. I can’t argue its merits….for a large corporation like that you have to do something to ensure a steady and consistent output of innovative product but more the better is P&G’s willingness to work with smaller agencies to help with those efforts. Everyone seems to agree that P&G alone, along with many other too large corporations, are not able to innovate with the same creative passionate interplay smaller agencies are capable of.
After all, that is how the Swiffer came about: not from P&G executives but them working with a small agency, Design Continuum, that created the Swiffer, one of P&G’s most successful consumer products yet.

So now the issue is, as one pretty astute forum member asked, if you aren’t IDEO, and you are working on change initiatives with corporations, how can you make sure you are not in the shadow of that corporation so you can go on to work with other companies in order to continue that sort of innovation? There is more than IDEO I can assure you that is out there creating and on the level of bringing such innovation to the table that the results have been nothing short of game changing and setting industry standards for over a decade. While that’s immense for society (at least for a decade), what about the little guy that did the heavy lifting?

It reminds me of the movie about the intermittent windshield wiper guy who lost everything fighting for the right to his invention that Ford Motor Company got most of the credit and therefore dollars for. Or how Mozart in his final days was so poor as to be forced to write compositions he would be commissioned for by some wealthy businessman….

I mean, why? Why kill off the goose that lays the golden egg? Do we live in such an environment of scarity that that kind of talent is to be robbed from instead of nurtured, supported, paid well so that they can live to do it again for others, making society all that much richer? Or are we to continue down this path of the self destructive robber barron mentality that only serves to make the rich richer? We all have families to support Mr CEO, so why not instead of building walls do like Berlin did in the 80’s and bring that Berlin Wall down. Society will be all the better for it and you will still be remembered fondly for what you did by historical standards and still gain riches as a consequence. It’s just this time you will bring along the people who helped you do it. So now what you will have done is become the P&G of your product cateogy instead of wilt and die after a decade of riding the little guy’s wave with no other BigIdeas generated in the process.

If you want to reinvent the wheel, do like the Wright Bros & create the airplane. Jack is nimble, quick and thinks outside the box.

So, my recommendation is, for the sake of society, the American Spirit and maybe even the world, open your hearts and minds and resources and build your next new BigIdea (psst, I can hear India nipping at your heels….).

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See L.L. Bean Signature’s facebook fan page here.

Never thought I’d see the day, but finally we are here. A hip L.L. Bean line of clothes and accessories for both men and women. And their website says the precollection is already sold out.

Some twenty years ago I bought a pair of their wellies, and wellie, they’re still totally intact. However, they’ve been restyled so they’re much hipper than when I bought mine 20 years or so ago. On top of that, they’ve got some leather totes to die for. So, I’m thinking they know what they’re doing. Maybe Cathy Horyn, the New York Times fashion critic, will be able to update those paddock boots she gave up on a long time ago, but paddock boots w/style this time. Seems perfectly appropo.

For a preview of their preview check out a facebook group Bean has partnered with, Tremor Effect, who get to have a first peek at the collection being shown in limited release on 3/15/10 at Bates College in Lewiston, Maine.

Meantime they’ve got a pretty sweet video on the www.llbeansignaturesite.com
that’ll have you coming back for more.

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The lines are heating up on Twitter about the Housewares Industry, so it’s time for me to do a post. The industry’s association lays claim to the housewares show growing by 500 exhibitors this year. And it does attract a fairly large audience, but I believe this is all about to change.

With Wal-Mart’s announcement that it plans to go direct with 80% of it’s products and the Housewares Show making up at least half of Wal-Mart’s vendor base, do we really think this is the show they will continue to display their wares at? From having worked this show for some 30 years, and being in that industry, I also know, have felt, and been keenly aware of how much has changed since the early heydays of the Housewares Industry in the 80’s. This show, traditionally held at McCormack Place in Chicago since it’s inception, used to have a building that we all knew to be where the start-up creative companies were. That building died out and got replaced by a larger segmented Housewares Show based on big business deals years ago. The little guy, if noticed at all, was shoved in a corner.

Now, international exhibitors are there in the back, the very back,(read Asian manufacturers) so if you need to source something just bypass your vendor and go straight to the back to make your deals. All very messy, but in the name of progress.

Still, as early as 8 years ago the industry also understood that it was putting on a show for about 5 accounts…Wal Mart, Target, Costco, Sam’s Club and maybe Container Store? The association was smart to start focusing on the kitchen and on the cooking side…more gourmet which nearly got wiped out in the 90’s but is now seeing a comeback. But is it wise to maintain this show on the basis that the merchandising team, product development team, and buyers of Wal-Mart along with Li & Fung can walk the halls (hiding badges) to copy what the vendors are doing instead of doing business with them?

My recommendation is that the show splits itself off into three parts, the cooking and tabletop guys go to the Gourmet Show held in San Francisco at Moscone Center, the creatives head for the gift shows especially the New York Gift Show in January or the Atlanta Gift Show held in July, and the housewares/hardlines guys head for Las Vegas for the Hardware and Lawn & Garden Show. There is also the craft show for those who were smart enough to forge into that market early on.

For the past three years I have been live blogging the Housewares Show, and industry since sustainability became the Hot Topic. With Wal-Mart both co-opting the subject and the industry by last May creating their Sustainability Index and the maxim that all vendors jump on board, I have moved on and recommend others in the space do the same. Target will be able to soak up only so many of the vendors that will depart Wal-Mart. Hopefully they’ve already seen the writing on the wall and have begun their exodus. This morning’s article from AdAge on Wal-Mart losing market share highlights the problems going on in this sector as well as some of the opportunities for vendors, and Warren Shoulberg, HFN’s editor, who is as honest as I am and equally if not more so knowledgeable about the industry, released both a video and a statement with the same recommendations I have. Kids, it’s time to diversify.

In the meantime, don’t believe everything you read or hear about the Housewares Industry especially if it is coming from the Housewares Association. It is very possible it has passed it’s prime. I still have not decided whether I’ll be attending this year as I have mostly moved my cheese already, but the show is next week. If for no other reason, the show will be good for color palettes which is a pretty sad state of affairs don’t you think? Whatever is being prognosticated and held up as trend worthy has already been presented to Wal-Mart and Target and maybe even mostly decided upon. Half the industry is going the route of supply chain to create a more sustainable company and most of us all already know about the 85-95% post consumer waste. I already know about the company in Brazil who has done some great product but it’s from food sources and people are reluctant to place this kind of demand onto farmers. Tabletop has been the most progressive with even that slowing up in recent years.
I covered some innovative companies last year, bodum and fusion brands, on 2modern’s design blog, and still consider them to be innovative companies, but really not much else is happening. Last year the show’s producers pushed color in countertop to be the thing that would make people buy. Color helps, but in this economy, I think real innovation is what is called for not half measures. This industry can run on some pretty low margins (thanks once again to Wal-Mart and Target) so innovation is not always what these manufacturers can afford. Aside from the mentions I’ve already written about here on my blog and 2modern’s, not much has changed, other than their color palettes and if I may say so, the color marketers may have been having their day in the sun as a result.

The only hope is if Rubbermaid or Sterilite licenses some of the innovations made in biodegradable plastics and those get placed in Wal-Mart and Target and then the pricing comes down so everyone can start to do the same. And if this is the case, I have not heard about it. I know it’s been being discussed, but I think we are still a few years from this kind of progress being made.

Info on show dates and exhibitors for 2010 is here. For more past article I’ve written on the Housewares Show visit this link here.

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designer Narciso Rodriguez

An outstanding round table hosted by Charlie Rose “Fashion Week Update” includes fashion critic Cathy Horyn of the New York Times, designer Narciso Rodriguez, CEO of J. Crew Mickey Drexler, and Elle Magazine’s fashion editor Roberta Myers.

The discussion is some of the most relevant I’ve heard about fashion and the state of it in well over a year. It’s frank, it comes from different perspectives and it gives some pretty clear direction in terms of where or how a company needs to position itself for future growth and some of the problems you’ll encounter along the way.

For an extra, extra treat, Mr. Rose ends the discussion with an interview he had with Alexander McQueen in 1997….this is a must see. The internet has changed how fashion and the market has functioned, forever. Time to get on board with it and start to understand how to salvage creativity and still earn a living, or become public and still be considered creative, and how the fashion editors fit in and will continue to fit in.

Great job.

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“>Apple’s Classic 1984 Superbowl Ad

A number of trend forecasters, myself included, are jumping on the “act local” bandwagon. I say this at the same time I am encouraging small business in particular to consider the BRIC countries for export to help them through this sluggish economy.

This notion, acting local, is the single biggest factor to my launching a manufacturing business in St. Louis, MO. For My BFF is a pet bed and accessory company attempting to manufacture product right here on US soil, in my backyard, creating jobs and pumping money into our local economy. It’s a noble exercise and one based as much on faith as research. To say I’ve come across a closed and tight fisted community is an understatement, but that’s due more to our economy than my company. If anything, I have not been discouraged to continue on by our community’s leaders. People by and large want to see me make it but I do have to do the heavy lifting in the beginning. That’s just the way it is and I’ve accepted the challenge and picked up the gauntlet. So far so good.

But to all of you out there, as this is a blog that speaks about a range of topics which more or less highlights trends, be they socio-political, design, business practices, or color they are trends that you are supposed to be considering when you are planning next steps.

And going local is going to be a big movement. I’m sure you wonder about that given the size and nature of Wal-Mart, the power and influence of brands like Oprah and Martha Stewart, but that in and of itself speaks to the movement. These very institutions while enormously influential in our daily lives for a very long time have also created a sort of lock step life, a homogenized society because we’re all listening to a few voices, buying the same things, and going to the same places. Where’s the variety, where’s the innovation, where are the opportunities for millions of Americans to do it for themselves, to grow, to prosper themselves instead of making someone else very very very rich while they’ve lost their homes, their retirement accounts, their health insurance and their dignity?

Now if the emotional side of this argument isn’t interesting enough for you, I found this post at a fellow competitor’s blog and feel it’s only good business to link you to it. If you are looking for a way forward, know that there are more than a few of us who are in the same business and are on the same bandwagon. Besides, PSFK has an infographic and specifically talks about how the money flows when people shop local.

Then there is this article from the L.A. Times about trends for 2010 wherein Faith Popcorn speaks out about the movement to act local, “In fact, trend forecaster Faith Popcorn has made the concept of localization the cornerstone of her predictions for 2010,” say the authors of the article (see page 3).

For me when I think a trend is strong, strong enough for people to make money on, that’s usually where you will find me in action. So I don’t just forecast it, I get myself in the middle of the movement…thus the creation of For My BFF in St. Louis. It has a social component to it as well which again speaks to the need of the community.

It’s a little like Bill Gates (dare I speak about myself in the same vein as him?) who in speaking about innovation which is another very hot topic right now, illustrates how innovation works by talking about the things he is doing right now (The Gates Notes) that employ innovation as a tactic for finding solutions to societal ills such as discovering vaccines for malaria or creating a new educational system that will work for the future of America and keep it competitive on the world stage. Others write about innovation and dissect what it is, which depending upon who is doing the writing (that link is an excellent description of innovation called “Design Thinking”) or explaining, can be helpful or in fact damaging. Nonetheless, innovation is a key tactic to employ in your strategies for creating business in 2010 and beyond. It’s not a me too world anymore, it’s a “let’s break the mold,” kinda world.

It’s not for the fainthearted either but let’s face it, in a world where the status quo threatens our very existence instead of extending it, thinking outside the proverbial box has become a mandate for creating a sustainable future (and why I invoke the now infamous 1984 Apple Superbowl ad above…afterall look what Apple has accomplished since the breaking of that ad, need I say more).

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Is that a self promotion or what? Well, I think it’s more of an observation.

Part of what I do is to get a view of more than one angle of society and industry as well as demographic. So it affords me the opportunity of comparing (sometimes) one set of mores/attitudes from one group vs the other….

Some of my observations which I think point to more significant data:

1) The social media guys are happy, somewhat insulated & employed. Suddenly they are the new messiah of the world.

2) The mainstream media is having a very bad moment and they aren’t happy, their news is sad and they are sad, their empires are falling.

3) The fashion industry is in some pretty dire straits. Even with sales figures, at least at the lower end, showing some resilience for holiday, they still face an entirely uncertain future. Their industry too falls into the category of empires falling….print media for them doesn’t have the sway it used to; those in control are working fast and furiously to catch up with where they think the rest of the world is. Problem is those decisions are still being made by the same minds that got them to where they are right now, so their attempts while in some cases noteworthy (Showtime and Alexander McQueen’s live streaming Womens SS 2010 video), it’s still pretty tepid. Sending school aged bloggers to sit in the front row of fashion shows? Back in the Day (that would be yesterday), people would accuse such gimmicks as a ratings scheme. And I can tell they have a lot to learn about Social Media. The best of the best on Twitter and Facebook have a personal style and interact with their followers. Fashion is still shouting about how beautiful they are, still shoving celebrity down our throats. That’s still the old way whether using it on Twitter, Facebook or your own website.

4) If it’s true what they say, you are what you eat, then the same can be applied to you are what you read and I’m feeling the need for reading some Henry David Thoreau (a whole book and not a 140 character or less quote from it).

5) I tweeted that content isn’t king, but that context is king and I find that depending upon who is doing the definition several very important verbs and nouns take on some pretty different meanings: and that would be transparency, authenticity, and engagement. Meaning I guess definition is in the mind of the teller. The efforts though, in the first part of January have been
noteworthy though in trying to understand it. That’s a good thing.

6) Design is on hold (no significant developments, not in any industry), the information mill is full of drek and that includes the ivory halls of mainstream media who supposedly do an incredible job of sussing out the “hard news and real facts,” and my theory of this period being like the wild, wild, west is sadly on par. As consumers of anything, I hope we can soon start demanding quality and not quantity and while giddy (myself included) with excitement over some of the new tech directions and developments, lets hope it doesn’t color our standards for fill in the blank subject matter at hand.

There are several reasons for my writing what some may deem a stinging blog post. One is that there is an article being tweeted in large numbers right now that lists the qualities and skills required for the next generation of journalists. While I have my criticisms of Mainstream Media, I also know some of these people have worked incredibly hard and long at their professions and just because someone understands SEO, doesn’t and won’t ever make them a good journalist. Somebody’s drinking too much Social Media Koolaid.

The other reason is that we are in a vicious cycle of supply vs demand with no real leadership taking the reigns to set the ship aright. On the one hand, the banks seem to be coming out of their freefall but are coming back to repeat the sins of the not so distant past and reaping the rewards while Joe Schmoe is still trying to dig himself/herself out of the trenches….what’s that about? I’d like to start seeing news about entertainers, sports figures, celebrity journalists, talk show hosts or anyone that Joe Schmoe collectively has made very very very rich and what they are doing to help create jobs so that said collective can continue to make them rich. I want to see who is doing what by name and actual numbers to improve the current condition our condition is in. Because I posit that those who are still making money by and large are clueless to what a significant number of people in THIS country are going through right now.

Let’s get real here, the consumer is still the one who holds the key to making things right and while I see all the social media geniuses out there right now capitalizing on this new movement (while they are making money), I see them being focused on social media specifically. They don’t know enough about any one industry except tech to help industries outside the tech industry become successful with it…ergo the insulation. More people in general, marketers specific to their industry, need to have a voice that is not cluttered with SEO, analytics, and ROI and more on strategy per se to show how it does work and can work for small businesses, personal brands, corporations not there yet, and so on. (although honorable mention has to go to the CMO’s who are tweeting in a personal style but for their companies on Twitter right now….).

Let me be clear here, social media is part of the marketing matrix, not all of it. Designers still need to design good things and know what their customer wants, CEO’s still need to lead with vision, and bankers still need to help their customers make money.

While we are getting back to basics, lets get back to some of these.

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And you can review it yourself at Prada’s website. or “>here

The set is the most dynamic. Hip indeedy and supported the mood for a 90’s/70’s Ashton Kutcher cum Jude Law look with 3/4 length coats and big buttons, high collars and wide lapels in an edgy beige or black vinyl, pop culture prints, and a beige wool. For a Milanese house though it all had a very British tone mixed with a lot of androgeny.

Kudos on the first live stream. Again, the set was to die for…and at one point, very clear lyrics, in an almost syfy voice, announcing, “time to forget a dead empire and build a living republic, time to forget a dead empire and build a living republic.”

Head’s up fashion industry. Prada speaks.

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I haven’t disappeared, I’ve just been undercover or it feels like it.

Let me explain. Now having a Twitter account, @kimbrotoo, I have gotten onto what seems like a virtual merry go round, and I like it. You gotta use some skill to both jump on and jump off. Once on though you can play all kinds of games to keep yourself from getting bored (and dizzy) by just going around in circles (heard of Foursquare?).

Don’t know that that justifies the telling of the experience or not. I interact with people I follow and who follow me to make things more interesting, plus there’s soooo much info to take in. And I’m on a platform, Tweetdeck, that allows me to see both my facebook and my LinkedIn status at the same time I’m keeping track of my Twitter stream. That said,

What I’ve learned:

1) Technology is changing at an even more alarming rate: Google is declaring all out war on every other tech company regardless of what it is or produces and looks to be winning
2) Twitter is declaring all out war on Facebook: outcome TBD
3) Conan O’Brien may be a reflection of the movie character Conan and be able to bring down NBC, Jay Leno and the Tonight Show with one fell letter.
4) $10M has been raised through Twitter for Haiti and shows once again how Twitter can be a driving force when there is something overwhelming happening in the world. And as a side note, I am now following @redcross (thinking forward to 2012….)
5) Some say blogs are dead, Seth Godin says libraries are dead and how we get info has changed forever, so better keep blogging (I’m in that camp) some say facebook will get gobbled up, some say Twitter will die, some think the laptop will be replaced by the smartphone (I am one of those), and many don’t agree with Pantone’s color of the year this year, torquoise (I am also one of those).

Whoa. Jumping off… gotta get my breath….so, see why I love the merry go round? For someone who needs to keep up on all kinds of information to observe patterns that speak to trends, there’s nothing like Twitter. Did I mention the interesting people you meet on there too?

And, it lets me multitask…at the same time I am collecting info, I am also giving my own brand of info out AND, and this is a big AND, I was able to announce the launch of my new company, for my bff, an eco friendly Made In the USA pet bed manufacturing company housed right here in St. Louis.

for my bff, saving the planet one pet bed at a time.

I connected to the people who are making the ingredient that makes the foam some 10-20% soy based, Cargill’s BiOH polyol, also on Twitter, who helped me announce for my bff’s launch and I was also able to announce on both LinkedIn and Twitter at the same time the feature the local news station did on the pet shop where for my bff got into and we got some local news love at the same time: Go Green: Owning Pets.

What you are witnessing is a convert to the social media medium for communications…..it’s fast, it’s cheap, and the more you work at it, the better it works for you.

But, this year I do resolve to manage my time on it better…..

I’ll be back with links to the info above so you can understand more of the details of above, if you want to, or link to me and you’ll see what I’m seeing….@kimbrotoo.

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